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STRYVE FOODS, INC. (SNAX)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Net sales were $6.0M, up ~29% sequentially vs Q1 ($4.6M), while gross margin was 17.5% (down sequentially from 20.7% but sharply improved vs negative prior-year) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $2.4M, the lowest in company history; net loss was $4.3M or $2.05 EPS (post 1-for-15 reverse split) .
  • Management suspended revenue guidance due to order timing variability; retail consumption KPIs remain strong (latest 4-week SPINS: retail sales +39.5% YoY, TDP +19.5%) .
  • A 1-for-15 reverse stock split became effective July 14, 2023, intended to regain NASDAQ compliance; ATM equity program of up to $5.7M launched in July to support liquidity .
  • Near-term stock reaction catalysts: guidance withdrawal and reverse split optics vs improving EBITDA trajectory and accelerating retail consumption KPIs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Our adjusted EBITDA loss for the second quarter was $2.4 million, our lowest adjusted EBITDA quarter in the history of the company,” reflecting structural cost reductions and productivity gains .
  • Gross profit swung to positive $1.1M (17.5% margin) from negative gross profit in the prior-year quarter, evidencing rationalization of non-profitable revenue and pricing/productivity actions .
  • Retail KPIs accelerated: latest 4-week SPINS retail sales +39.5% YoY, TDP +19.5%, dollar velocity up, and share gains; new packaging is designed for retail conversion .
  • CEO emphasized disciplined operating model and portfolio simplification: “We have simplified our portfolio… eliminating approximately 2/3 of our SKUs,” embedding a zero-waste culture and productivity into the business .

What Went Wrong

  • Year-over-year revenue declined to $6.0M from $10.9M due to intentional rationalization of non-profitable revenues in the prior year; operating expenses were cut 62% YoY to $4.4M .
  • Gross margin declined sequentially (17.5% vs 20.7% in Q1) as volumes rebuilt and mix evolved; management had flagged a slight sequential GM decrease despite YoY improvement .
  • Interest expense rose to ~$0.9M from ~$0.4M in Q1, driven by accounting for April notes and associated warrants (relative value method, noncash amortization through year-end) .
  • Liquidity remains tight (cash ~$0.32M; inventory ~$8.4M while transitioning packaging), prompting dependence on line of credit and ATM program; guidance suspended given timing variability of retail resets .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$5.4 $4.6 $6.0
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$1.2 $0.963 $1.1
Gross Margin (%)22.3% 20.7% 17.5%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$5.5 $5.2 $4.4
Adjusted EBITDA Loss ($USD Millions)$3.5 $3.5 $2.4
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$4.5 $4.6 $4.3
EPS (Reported)$0.14 $0.15 $2.05
Adjusted EPS (Reported)$0.13 $0.14 $1.66

Note: Q2 2023 EPS reflects a 1-for-15 reverse stock split effective July 14, 2023; prior quarters are pre-split and not directly comparable .

KPIs (Retail Consumption and Share)

KPI (SPINS)Q4 2022 (context)Q1 2023 (context)Q2 2023 (latest datapoints)
Retail Dollar Sales YoYn/a+35% (12 weeks, “measured channels”) +39.5% (latest 4 weeks)
Total Distribution Points (TDP) YoYn/a~+20% (“nearly a 20% increase”) +19.5% (latest 4 weeks)
Price-Mix YoYn/a~+16% improvement +12.5% (4-week data to June 18)
Category Share Changen/againing share (qual) +15.1 bps (4-week to June 18)

Segment breakdown: Not disclosed in the quarter’s materials; company reports consolidated results .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2023$28M–$34M (reaffirmed on May 15) Guidance suspended; directing focus to retail consumption KPIs Withdrawn
Gross MarginFY 2023Expect gross margins to scale into mid-30s by year-end, subject to volumes/commodities No numeric update; YoY improvement noted; slight sequential decrease in Q2 Maintained long-term target (no formal update)
Operating ExpensesFY 2023Removed ~50% in H2’22; continued improvement Reduced 62% YoY in Q2; continuing disciplined management Improved execution (not formal guidance)
EPS/EBITDAFY 2023No formal EPS/EBITDA guidance; Q4’22/Q1’23 cited “lowest adjusted EBITDA” to date Q2 delivered “lowest adjusted EBITDA quarter” to date; no forward guide n/a

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2022)Previous Mentions (Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
Packaging Renovation & Retail ConversionNew packaging to be in market late Q2; designed for clarity and conversion Packaging rollout starting; conservatively modeled with no velocity uplift in guidance New packaging began transitioning; early conversion effects expected Improving; starting to impact
Distribution Wins & Channel MixShift toward stable retail/wholesale; pipeline fills and inventory dynamics Major wins (e.g., 7-Eleven/Speedway/Whole Foods); sequential ramp expected “Primary driver of growth”; expect step function growth; timing variability acknowledged Accelerating
Zero-Waste/ProductivityCulture change; SKU rationalization; productivity drives margins Zero-waste initiatives; process discipline; cost reductions Continued zero-waste; monetizing “waste”; lowest adjusted EBITDA loss Structural improvement
Guidance PolicyProvided FY revenue and GM trajectory Reaffirmed $28–$34M FY revenue range Suspended revenue guidance due to timing variability; focus on SPINS indicators More conservative
Liquidity/CapitalLine of credit; potential going concern warning without financing $4.1M notes & warrants to support distribution ramp ATM up to $5.7M; noncash interest from warrants; careful cash mgmt Stabilizing tools in place
Inventory NormalizationOrders diverged from consumption; Q4 industry inventory rationalization Late-Q1 normalization; new distribution pipeline fills Transition to new packaging explains steady inventory; expect decline post-transition Normalizing over H2

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We have simplified our portfolio… eliminating approximately 2/3 of our SKUs. We have executed 2 separate pricing actions… embedded productivity into our culture…” .
  • CFO: “Operating expenses for the second quarter were $4.4 million… eliminated 62% of our operating expenses versus the prior year period… adjusted EBITDA loss for the second quarter was $2.4 million, our lowest… in the history of the company” .
  • CEO: “We are maniacally focused on… costs, resources, investments, capital, debt and all aspects related to cash… we expect to grow at a rate well above the meat snack category” .
  • CFO on guidance: “It would not be prudent… to provide continued top line guidance… In lieu… direct investors to… retail consumption data… retail sales are up 39.5% YoY… TDP up 19.5%” .
  • 8-K pre-announcement: “Net revenue will be within a range of $5.8M to $6.0M… greatly improved gross margins YoY… slight decrease sequentially” .

Q&A Highlights

  • The provided Q2 2023 transcript contains prepared remarks only and does not include a Q&A section; no Q&A themes were available in the source document .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for SNAX due to missing CIQ mapping in our data connector; we attempted retrieval but could not access S&P Global consensus for Q2 2023 to compare actuals vs estimates [SpgiEstimatesError for SNAX].
  • Given unavailability, we anchor investor context on reported results and disclosed retail consumption KPIs .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential revenue inflection (+~29%) with structurally lower OpEx (−62% YoY) and the best adjusted EBITDA loss in company history signals improving operating leverage as volumes ramp .
  • Guidance suspension raises forecasting uncertainty, but retail consumption indicators (SPINS) are strong and accelerating, suggesting underlying demand momentum as new packaging rolls out .
  • Liquidity is tight; reliance on line of credit, April notes/warrants, and July ATM mitigates near-term risk as inventory transitions; monitor dilution and noncash interest impacts .
  • Margin path: despite a slight sequential GM dip to 17.5%, YoY margin improvement is clear; prior commentary targets mid-30s GM by year-end contingent on sustained volumes and commodity stability .
  • Strategic focus on core portfolio, SKU reductions, and zero-waste/productivity should sustain cost discipline; watch for distribution wins translating into durable velocity and share gains .
  • Near-term trading: reverse split optics and guidance withdrawal could drive volatility; upside scenarios hinge on visible retail conversion from packaging and notable distribution adds materializing in shipments .
  • Medium-term thesis: a leaner, more focused CPG platform with improving unit economics and growing measured-channel presence can compound if cash constraints are navigated and margin targets are met .